The Black Swan
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Greats lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; theyre impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the experts, "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. "Mindblowing... a masterpiece." Chris Anderson, author of The Long Tail "Hugely enjoyable compelling." Financial Times "A deeply intelligent, provocative book." Economist
Kниги от същия жанр
-
Displayпечатна: 67.90 лв. -
Matildaпечатна: 15.90 лв. -
Tortilla Flatпечатна: 15.90 лв. -
The Advertising Concept Book: Think Now, Design Laterпечатна: 49.90 лв. -
Blogging for Creatives: How Designers, Artists, Crafters and Writers Can Blog to Make Contacts, Win Business and Build Successпечатна: 36.90 лв. -
Pocket Fantasy Art: The Very Best in Contemporary Fantasy Art & Illustrationпечатна: 27.00 лв. -
School of Chocolateпечатна: 35.90 лв. -
David Adjaye: Making Public Buildingsпечатна: 52.90 лв. -
Echo Parkпечатна: 13.90 лв.
То е много важно за нас, затова може да ви бъдем от полза като ви дадем следните насоки:
Резюме: Моля опишете вашето общо впечатление от продукта в няколко думи.